This wallet ran for 29 active days (29 calendar days in window) and logged 143,297 trades - 143,297 BUY tickets and 0 SELL tickets - across 7,548 distinct markets and 7,547 events. Gross turnover for the window: $1.76M, averaging 4,941 trades/day.
On the resolved-BUY book, the wallet has 143,291 closed positions with a 50.3% win rate (72,100 wins / 71,191 losses), netting +$27,984 on $1.76M deployed - a realized return of +1.59%.
Sizing & execution profile
The median fill is $10.13, the mean is $12.31, P95 is $28.50, P99 is $36.48 and the largest single fill in the window was $54.37. The top 5% of trades carry 13.6% of total capital - a sizing curve where most fills are small probes and a small handful of larger fills express conviction.
Intra-market consecutive fill gap is 10s median with 45.4% of pairs firing in under ten seconds - a latency signature consistent with automated execution.
Where the edge lives
With 99.0% of markets seeing both YES and NO bought, the book has the surface profile of a market maker. Median paired cost is $0.9893; 60.3% of paired markets close under $1.00. The conviction curve and dominance buckets in the quantitative section break down which side of the spread carries the realized P/L.
Of 29 rolling 15-day windows, 29 close positive (100.0% green-window rate). This is the consistency profile that determines how reproducible the strategy is over time.
