What you need to run it
- Market-dependency graph + conditional-probability linkage model
- Real-time price feed across all related markets
- Lead-lag detection identifying which market moves first
- Low-latency execution to capture the lagging leg
Where this applies
Markets on Polymarket where cross-market information leakage mapping is the natural play:
- Will [candidate] win the 2028 nomination? (lead) vs Will they win the 2028 general election? (lag)
- Will the Fed cut at the next meeting? (lead) vs Will there be 3+ cuts in 2027? (lag)
- Will [team] win their conference? (lead) vs Will they win the championship? (lag)
Capabilities this demands
Model / quantCustom code / APILow latencyMulti-venue
At a glance
CategorySignal-Driven
Requirements4
CapabilitiesModel / quant, Custom code / API, Low latency, Multi-venue
VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)
Build it
Related signal-driven strategies
This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the
full strategy database (147 strategies) or the
data resources directory.
