Signal-Driven#075

Flight-Tracking OSINT for Geopolitical Markets

You watch live aircraft-tracking feeds (ADS-B Exchange, OpenSky) for unusual movements of government, military, or diplomatic planes, like a leader's jet suddenly diverting or transport aircraft massing, and trade Polymarket geopolitical and conflict markets before the news reports it. The edge is that physical-world signals can lead the news wire by minutes to hours.

What you need to run it

ADS-B Exchange/OpenSky API + tail-number watchlist (gov/military registries)
Pattern-detection code flagging anomalous routes/divergences
Mapping of aircraft events to specific open Polymarket conflict/diplomacy markets
Low-latency CLOB execution to hit liquidity before repricing

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where flight-tracking osint for geopolitical markets is the natural play:

Will the US strike Iranian nuclear sites before Sept 2026?
Will Kim Jong Un travel outside North Korea during 2026?
Will a US-brokered ceasefire be announced in an active 2026 conflict?

Capabilities this demands

Feed ingestionCustom code / APILow latencyDomain knowledge

At a glance

CategorySignal-Driven

Requirements4

CapabilitiesFeed ingestion, Custom code / API, Low latency, Domain knowledge

VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

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This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (147 strategies) or the data resources directory.