Signal-Driven#079

GDELT Global-Event Stream Trading

GDELT is a free feed that machine-reads global news every 15 minutes and scores the tone and type of each event (conflict, protest, coup, instability). You watch for sudden spikes in negative coverage about a country or actor and buy the related geopolitical market before the narrative consolidates. The edge is that automated worldwide news monitoring surfaces escalations faster than any human watching headlines.

What you need to run it

GDELT 2.0 GKG/Events 15-min feed ingestion + storage
Country/actor tone & Goldstein-scale anomaly model
Mapping of event-code spikes to open instability/conflict markets
Backtested thresholds to suppress noise-driven false signals

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where gdelt global-event stream trading is the natural play:

Will there be a coup or attempted coup in [country] before the end of 2026?
Will mass protests force [leader] to resign by mid-2027?
Will [State A] launch a military strike on [State B] before Jan 1, 2027?

Capabilities this demands

Data ingestionModel / quantFeed ingestionCustom code / API

At a glance

CategorySignal-Driven

Requirements4

CapabilitiesData ingestion, Model / quant, Feed ingestion, Custom code / API

VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

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This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (147 strategies) or the data resources directory.