Signal-Driven#040

Poll-Drop Reaction Bot

When a major pollster drops a new survey, your bot reads it instantly and trades on how Polymarket usually over- or under-reacts to that specific pollster. The edge is your per-pollster model: you know the market tends to overshoot certain houses and underweight others, so you fire orders before the price finds its true level, with a kill-switch for unknown pollsters.

What you need to run it

Monitoring of pollster release schedules and feeds
Per-pollster reaction model (historic over/undershoot)
Kill-switch for surprise non-canonical pollsters

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where poll-drop reaction bot is the natural play:

Will [candidate] lead the 2028 Democratic primary polls by year-end 2027?
Will Republicans win control of the Senate in the 2026 midterms?
Will the President's approval exceed 45% at the end of [upcoming month]? (recurring polling market)

Capabilities this demands

Feed ingestionModel / quantLow latency

At a glance

CategorySignal-Driven

Requirements3

CapabilitiesFeed ingestion, Model / quant, Low latency

VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related signal-driven strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (147 strategies) or the data resources directory.