For markets tied to specific companies (revenue beats, will-the-CEO-stay, will-a-merger-close), you dig into SEC filings, earnings-call transcripts, and what the options market is implying, to price the market more accurately than generalists. The edge is doing real financial homework on each catalyst and trading the gap between your estimate and the crowd's. A calendar of upcoming events per company tells you when each market is about to be decided.
Markets on Polymarket where earnings & corporate event trading is the natural play:
