Crypto · Market Making#249

Cycle Quoting with Spot-Delta Hedge

Quoting both sides of an hourly up/down market leaves you holding directional risk whenever one side fills more than the other. Crypto is the one category where you can neutralise that instantly, because the underlying trades 24/7 on a dozen venues: you offset the inventory with a small spot or perp position and go back to earning the spread. The hedge ratio is the market's sensitivity to price, which rises sharply as the cycle nears its close.

What you need to run it

  • Two-sided quoting bot with live inventory tracking per cycle
  • Funded spot or perp account for hedging, with the delta recomputed continuously
  • Model of how sensitivity to price grows into the settlement window

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where cycle quoting with spot-delta hedge is the natural play:

  • Will Bitcoin be up at 4pm ET today?
  • Will Ethereum be up at 7pm ET today?
  • Will Solana be up at 11pm ET today?

Capabilities this demands

Custom code / APISignificant capitalMulti-venueRisk management

At a glance

CategoryMarket Making
MarketCrypto
Requirements3
CapabilitiesCustom code / API, Significant capital, Multi-venue, Risk management
VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related crypto strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (297 strategies) or the data resources directory.
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