Specialist#043

Geopolitical-Event Specialist

Focus on war, ceasefire, hostage, and treaty markets, pricing them ahead of mainstream news by mining open-source intelligence (OSINT) such as flight-tracking data, satellite imagery, and primary-language Telegram channels. The edge is information speed and access: you confirm developments from raw sources hours before reporters publish, and you need discipline given the grim subject matter.

What you need to run it

Vetted OSINT source list with update discipline
Language coverage for primary-source reporting
Emotional discipline given the content of these markets

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where geopolitical-event specialist is the natural play:

Will Russia and Ukraine sign a ceasefire before the end of 2026?
Will [active conflict] truce hold through the end of [upcoming quarter, 2027]?
Will a hostage-release deal be announced in [conflict] before the end of 2026?

Capabilities this demands

Manual researchDomain knowledgePatience

At a glance

CategorySpecialist

Requirements3

CapabilitiesManual research, Domain knowledge, Patience

VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

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