Mentions & Social · Structural#228

Mention-Rule Ambiguity Mining

Mention markets are unusually rule-sensitive: does a repost count, does a plural or possessive form count, does a written post count for a market about speech, does the word inside a quoted headline count? The rules answer these, and the market price often does not reflect them. You read the resolution text closely, identify markets whose price implies a looser or stricter definition than the rules state, and take the side the text supports.

What you need to run it

  • Systematic reading of resolution criteria including edge-case language
  • Precedent log of how similar ambiguities were resolved previously
  • Willingness to skip markets whose wording is genuinely unresolvable

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where mention-rule ambiguity mining is the natural play:

  • Will the candidate say 'tariffs' during the debate?
  • Will the account mention Bitcoin this week?
  • Will the term appear in the official transcript?

Capabilities this demands

Manual researchDomain knowledgeRisk management

At a glance

CategoryStructural
MarketMentions & Social
Requirements3
CapabilitiesManual research, Domain knowledge, Risk management
VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related mentions & social strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (297 strategies) or the data resources directory.
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