Specialist#128

Resolution-Rule NLP Mispricing Scanner

Use an AI to read every market's fine print, the resolution criteria plus the UMA oracle settlement language, at scale, and flag markets where the literal rules would resolve differently than the catchy title suggests (a specific cutoff date, a named source of truth, an edge-case clause). You take the side the crowd underprices because most people bet the headline, not the actual contract terms.

What you need to run it

  • Structured ingestion of all market rule text + UMA ancestry
  • LLM parser fine-tuned/few-shot on past ambiguous resolutions
  • Database of historical rule-vs-outcome edge cases
  • Manual review queue for high-confidence flags

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where resolution-rule nlp mispricing scanner is the natural play:

  • Will SpaceX land humans on Mars before the end of 2027?
  • Will Bitcoin hit $250k before the end of 2027?
  • Will the Democratic nominee for the 2028 presidential election be decided by Super Tuesday?

Capabilities this demands

Model / quantManual researchData ingestionDomain knowledge

At a glance

CategorySpecialist
Requirements4
CapabilitiesModel / quant, Manual research, Data ingestion, Domain knowledge
VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related specialist strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (147 strategies) or the data resources directory.
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