Arbitrage#138

Resolution-Source Scrape-to-Order First-Mover

Poll the exact data source named in a market's resolution rule, a specific government CSV, an official results page, a CME settlement print, and fire your order the instant that canonical number updates, before traders relying on slower news catch on. The edge is sitting directly on the feed the oracle itself uses to settle, so you see the answer first.

What you need to run it

Per-market mapping of resolution rule to the exact canonical URL/API
Sub-second change-detection poller with diff alerting
Pre-staged signed orders on Polymarket CLOB for instant submit
Legal review that the source's ToS permits polling

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where resolution-source scrape-to-order first-mover is the natural play:

Will the next monthly CPI print come in above 3.0%?
Will US nonfarm payrolls exceed 150k in the next jobs report?
Will the favorite win the next tennis Grand Slam singles final?

Capabilities this demands

Low latencyFeed ingestionCustom code / APIDomain knowledge

At a glance

CategoryArbitrage

Requirements4

CapabilitiesLow latency, Feed ingestion, Custom code / API, Domain knowledge

VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related arbitrage strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (147 strategies) or the data resources directory.