Snow totals vary enormously across a single metro area, so a market asking whether a city gets six inches is really asking about one official measurement site — often an airport well outside the urban core. Traders picture the city; the contract measures a gauge. You model the specific site's microclimate and elevation, and you take the other side whenever the market is pricing the impression of the storm rather than the reading at that one location.
Markets on Polymarket where snowfall-threshold measurement-site specificity is the natural play:
