Structural#039

Catalyst-Window Positioning

Buy in a few days before a scheduled catalyst (a Fed meeting, jobs report, debate, or court ruling) while the market is still quiet, then exit soon after the result prints. The edge is that prices often sit sleepy ahead of known events and then move sharply; you capture that re-pricing with a clear time- or move-based exit.

What you need to run it

  • Catalyst calendar with high-impact events tagged
  • Historical study of pre/post-catalyst price behavior
  • Clear exit rule (time-based or move-based)

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where catalyst-window positioning is the natural play:

  • Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?
  • Will the upcoming monthly jobs report (NFP) beat 150k?
  • Will the next CPI print come in above 3.0%?

Capabilities this demands

Domain knowledgeManual researchPatience

At a glance

CategoryStructural
Requirements3
CapabilitiesDomain knowledge, Manual research, Patience
VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

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This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (147 strategies) or the data resources directory.
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