Sports · Signal-Driven#161

Injury-Report Wire Race

A star player being ruled out is worth several percentage points of win probability, and that news breaks on a small number of beat-reporter accounts minutes before it reaches the official injury report. You monitor those specific accounts plus league injury APIs, map each player to a pre-computed impact number, and fire orders on the affected game markets the moment a status changes. This is a pure speed play: the whole edge lives in the two-to-ten-minute window before the market absorbs it.

What you need to run it

  • Streaming monitor on league injury endpoints plus a curated list of beat reporters
  • Pre-computed per-player win-probability impact so no thinking happens at trade time
  • Automated order templates with strict latency budgets and a false-report kill switch

Where this applies

Markets on Polymarket where injury-report wire race is the natural play:

  • Will the Lakers beat the Nuggets tonight?
  • Will the Bills cover as favorites this week?
  • Will the Celtics win the 2027 NBA title?

Capabilities this demands

Low latencyFeed ingestionCustom code / API

At a glance

CategorySignal-Driven
MarketSports
Requirements3
CapabilitiesLow latency, Feed ingestion, Custom code / API
VenuePolymarket (CLOB, Polygon)

Build it

Related sports strategies

This is documentation, not advice. Poly Research & Robotics publishes how these strategies work because the method should be checkable — not as a recommendation to trade them. See the full strategy database (297 strategies) or the data resources directory.
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