Weather markets have an unusually predictable information schedule: nothing much changes between model runs, then a great deal changes at once when a new one lands. That makes the quoting posture obvious — earn the spread through the quiet stretch, then widen or pull entirely in the minutes around each 00z, 06z, 12z and 18z release. The mistake that kills weather market makers is leaving quotes up across a run boundary.
Markets on Polymarket where model-run clock quoting is the natural play:
